Um, the odds of that asteroid hitting us in 2032 have doubled – Vice

The odds didn’t increase significantly, but enough to be worrisome. When we first discovered 2024 YR4, it had an estimated 1 in 83 chance of directly hitting the earth. By the time I got around to reporting about it, the chances had increased to 1 in 67. The latest update upped the odds even more. As of this writing, there is a 1 in 43 chance the asteroid will hit us. That equates to a 2.3 percent chance of hitting Earth on December 22, 2032, which means it hits Earth in 23 out of 1,000 simulations.